Friday, June 17, 2011

Cambodia's position vis-a-vis the China-Vietnam conflict in the South China Sea

Friday, June 17, 2011
Opinion by School of Vice
But China is in a far better position to do so, and Khmer nationalists, including Opposition groups should seek Chinese financial support needed to build up a nationwide movement or network capable of supplanting the existing Vietnamese installed CPP economic patronage arrangement.
Hanoi must have foreseen this tension with China over the South China Sea potentially leading to a major confrontation for a while.

With the US publicly voicing displeasure over China's claim over this stretch of international water, the Vietnamese maybe looking to agitate the US even more by provoking Beijing and hoping increased tension will result in US war ships being despatched to the region where Vietnam will be their most eager ally and port of call.

If I'm not mistaken, this is what Hanoi is banking on: by exploiting Washington's fear of losing control over this vital international waterway it hopes to gain a committed patron that will be strong enough (like the former Soviet Union in Ho Chi Minh's time) to shield Vietnam from the Chinese threat.


Indeed, the Vietnamese are appealing to the US and other regional alliances to help 'resolve' the tension over the dispute. It helps that other members of ASEAN such as the Philippines and Malaysia also lay claims over those islands. But, the most crucial issue for Hanoi is political rather than economic or sovereignty claims over distant islands: Vietnam needs an ally-patron as a counterweight to growing Chinese power and influence in the region. Failing to gain such a patron will not bode well for her national security.

The US will, for her part, try to avoid military confrontation with China especially involving a nation (Vietnam) where she learned a painful lesion. But she has to let Beijing know that there is limit to Chinese expansion and control in the Asia-Pacific Rim region.

Cambodia's fate depends on how she interacts with all 3 players: US, China and Vietnam, the former 2 could offer her decisive opportunities with which to lessen her dependence on and bondage to Hanoi. The US may not be able to do much towards this end given her geo-political concerns beside offering limited inter-governmental assistance. But China is in a far better position to do so, and Khmer nationalists, including Opposition groups should seek Chinese financial support needed to build up a nationwide movement or network capable of supplanting the existing Vietnamese installed CPP economic patronage arrangement.

That's all, folk. Thank you for reading.

31 comments:

Baay Kdaing said...

Cambodia is in the best position to fee herself from Viet's grip now by supporting China who's laying claim to the island, in return, ask China to support Cambodia against the Viet.

Anonymous said...

let's talk about how do KI media and Mr Sam Rainsy and Cambodian people get back the lands, sea area of over 30 000km2 from Vietnam that Hun Sen gives them to Vietnam from 1979-1985 treaties.

Let's talk about that in detail not briftly.

Let's talk about how do KI media would educate the khmer soliders at front line about why do they die for 4.6km2 but they have forgotten over 30 000km2 of Cambodia that Vietnam take.

Yes let's start talk about that in detail

Anonymous said...

Koh Tral is belong to Cambodian people, Vietnam must Give it back to khmer people.

Anonymous said...

Mr Sam Rainsy, Why don't you sue PM Hun Sen as you promise to us Cambodian people and your true supporters?

Are you tried to bargain or negotiate with PM Hun Sen again like 2005 lawsuit at America??? Why?? Why??

We want to see Mr Sam Rainsy act as he said to sue PM Hun Sen in every democracy Countries court of justice around the world.

We want the results as transparency, from your progress in suing PM Hun Sen in every court of justices!!!

We are Cambodian people afraid that you are just using the lawsuit to scare PM Hun Sen than when PM Hun Sen gives you (Mr Sam Rainsy) green light. You again, hang your Lawsuit like 2005.

Mr Sam Rainsy, You must do as you said, otherwise you the same as Mr Kim Soka.

Mr Sam Rainsy, where are your law suit VS Hun SEn in America Court of justice? We want to see and hear the stories transparency because we afraid that you are just try to bargain with Hun Sen like 2005 again.

We Cambodian people as well as your supporters are waiting to see your real action in suing PM Hun Sen (In America Court of justice, all countries’ court of justice in Europe, Japan Court of justice, Australia Court of justice, New Zealand court of justice, Canada court of Justice, UN court of justice, World Human Right court of justice, NATO court of justice…) as you Mr Sam Rainsy said.

Mr Sam Rainsy must do as you said OK. Don’t you dare to bargain with PM Hun Sen like 2005 again?

May be you can’t be Prime Minister of Cambodia because of unfair election as 5-6 million Vietnamese votes for Hun Sen and Hun Sen add up his cheating skill in every election but you can be a great Khmer Hero by suing PM Hun Sen about the facts that he has done to Cambodia and Cambodian people so far.

If you Can’t be Prime Miniter due unfair election all the times but Mr Sam Rainsy, you can gives a great stain to PM Hun Sen and CPP Vietnam slave about their crimes against Cambodian people since 1970 until today.

Anonymous said...

if viet/youn can take koh tral from cambodia, then china can sure take the paracel islands, the spratly islands, etc, etc from viet/youn, you know! that's how khmer people feel about losing koh tral to youn thieves!

Anonymous said...

Vietnam believes that it is the maker-and-shaker in the S.E.A. VietNam wants to fool the US to fight the war for them. This is the tactic that communist vietcong is famous for.

When it comes to VietNam Vietcong, the free world must be careful when dealing with this snake. It is very sneaky and tricky.

I've known VietNam Vietcong long enough to know the in and out of the vietocng.

VietNam vietcong is the aggressor and terrorist in Lao, Cambodia, Thailand, Burma, and Khmer Krom.

You don't have to take my words for it. Please do your own research.

Anonymous said...

This is a great opportunity for Cambodia leader to strongly support the Chinese policy in South China Sea dispute.

Fruitful cooperation between the two country so far is the an obvious evidence of Khmer-Sino relationship such as road, bridge, military support,..and other cooperating project..

Please imagine that how is Cambodia without China..

Up to Cambodian leader to have a long term strategic partner with whoever can make Cambodia more safe and more strategic...

Anonymous said...

Know the Vietcong evil mentality...this scene is not for everybody. Please don't click if you can't stand violent scene. Please don't click if you are a minor. Discretion is strongly advised.

Anonymous said...

ខ្មែរគ្រប់រូបគួរគិត និយាយ និង ធ្វើអ្វីឲ្យទាន់កាល
ត្រូវតាមពេលវេលា ព្រោះពេលវេលាជាមាសប្រាក់;
ចូរមើលកម្លាំងខ្យល់បក់ តើកម្លាំងខ្យល់ខាងលិច
ឬខ្យល់ខាងជើងវាបក់បោកខ្លាំង។
ចិននិងអាមេរិកាំងយកមួយណា ត្រូវពិចារណា
ឲ្យបានល្អិតល្អន់ មុននឹងពឹងយក្សមួយណាមួយ
នោះ។សូមប្រយ័ត្ន កុំឲ្យប្រាក់ក៏បង់ ថង់ក៏ដាចណា៎!
ចិនឈ្លោះយួន ព្រោះខ្យល់ឧស្ម័នកោះប្រេងកាត
បើអាមេរិកាំងជួយយួនព្រោះសេរីភាពនិងសេដ្ថកិច្ច
តែអាមេរិកាំងជំពាក់ចិន 13 trillion dollars ណា៎!ខ្មែរត្រូវតែត្រៀមខ្លួនចូលយក្ស
ណាមួយនៅគ្រានេះ។
ចិនយួនឈ្លោះព្រោះទឹកដីនិងប្រេង។

Anonymous said...

The US will not back hanoi!
The US do business with hanoi!

Hanoi was an old nemesis of the US.

Anonymous said...

There are a few type of supports.

1. A support only a word of mouth.

2. A support a word of mouth and involve some action.

3. A support with no word of mouth but support by action.

The first one is useless.

The second one is created love and hatred.

The third one is the right thing to do.

Anonymous said...

9:54AM,
Not entirely true. Imagine you are in a court of law trying to argue a case. How could you win a case without saying a word?

Not sure if the judge want to see you dancing around in circle.

Land grabbing/land eviction, torture cases etc.. are very serious business.

Unless the court is run by the CPP HunSin vietcong goverment

Anonymous said...

Yes, America may owed China that much , but China can't do anything to America.She can not come and take over America, or do anything to hurt her interest.It's a completely different story,or like a person to person where you owed somebody and ,he or she can come and take your home, your car or anything of value.Yes ,we owed China ,but it doesn't mean anything period.

Don't forget,China owed America a great deal too.If we did not defeat Japan,part of China may still be under Japanese occupation.

Anonymous said...

10:04AM,
Not entirely true too.You can talk all you want in the court of law if you don't have evidences to back you up.Your case will fall apart.

Anonymous said...

10:13AM,
So, I say we do combination or all based on circumstances.

We talk, we scream, we yell, we poke...anything until the enemy is defeated.

For us, we care, we love, support with actions. we work together!
We will be victorious!

Anonymous said...

អញមិននឹកស្មានថា សមរង្ស៊ីនេះ ភ្លើដល់ថ្នាក់និងសោះ អារឿងរបស់គេសោះ

ទៅយកខ្លួនពាក់ព័ន្ធ ខ្មែរឯង គ្មានអីសោះ

កញ្ជះដាច់ថ្លៃគេសោះ មិនគិត ទៅជាគាំទ្រខាងនេះ ខាងនោះទៅវិញ

តិចថា យកឆ្អឹងព្យួរ-ក

សមរង្ស៊ី មហាភ្លើរ គួរគិតរឿង ខ្មែរកើតកូនសំរាប់តែ ធ្វើកញ្ជះបរទេសដាច់ថ្លៃ មិនគិត មួយថ្ងៃ មួយថ្ងៃ មានខ្មែរប៉ុន្មានទៅធ្វើកញ្ជះគេ

ខ្មែរកើតកូនមក សំរាប់ធ្វើកញ្ជះគេចឹងទៅ

អីមិនដែលឃើញអាណាគេភ្លើ ដូចសមរង្ស៊ីនេះទេ

សូម្បីតែសៀម និងយួន យកដីខ្មែររាល់ថ្ងៃ ក៏ចិន វាសំងំ យកចំណេញគិតគូរពីផលប្រយោជន៏វាដែរ

កុំភ្លើរពេក សមរង្ស៊ី អើយ

Anonymous said...

រឺមួយក៏ម្សៀរ សមរង្ស៊ីនិង ចង់បានអីពី ចិន?????????

មុខរបរ សមរង្ស៊ី តែប៉ុននិងទេ គ្មានអីច្បាស់លាស់

ដើរស្រែកអោយតែបានស៊ី ម៉ាគេ ម៉ាគេ ចឹងទៅ

អញអើយអញ

Anonymous said...

Vietnam must gives Koh TRal back to Cambodian people.

China and USA must help Cambodian people get Koh TRal back to her khmer people.

Long Live Koh Tral and Koh Tral is always belong to Cambodian people. Vietnam must give Koh TRal back To Khmer people.

Anonymous said...

សមរង្ស៊ី នេះ បើបានដឹកនាំស្រុកទេស ច្បាស់ជា រលាយមិនខាន ព្រោះដើម្បីផលប្រយោជន៏ផ្ទាល់ខ្លួន

រុញខ្មែរទាំងមូល ទៅអាខាងនេះ ខាងនោះ

អាសូរតែឯងនិងស្អី កូនចៀមសោះនិងហា

មិនចេះខ្មាស់គេ ចេះហាមាត់ទៅកើតដែរ

តិចថា អស់បីលាននាក់ទៀត ដោយសារជ្រួល

ម្តងទៅចិន អាមេរិច យួន រុស្ស៊ី

ភ្លើរនោះភ្លើរ រកគ្មាន

បើនៅសុខស្រួល គ្មានពាក់ព័ន្ធអីទេ

ម៉េចមិនសំងំ កសាងជាតិ

Anonymous said...

10:30AM,10:24am,10:26AM ,
Just shut the fuck up.Pourk ah kbal yuon kluon khmer.

Anonymous said...

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា ទៅយកដីពី យួន

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា ទៅដកគល់ឈើនៅព្រំដែន ខ្មែរ-យួន

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា ទៅធ្វើបាតុកម្ម ងាប់ខ្មែរមិនតិច

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា អោយខ្មែរងើបប៉ះបោរ
ធ្វើអោយចលាចលស្រុកទេសទៅ

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា និងប្តឹង សំដាចមន៏ហ៊ុនសែន ដាក់គុក

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា កន្ថោរមួយ ចែកគ្នា គុយ ម្នាក់ពាក់កណ្តាល អណត្តិ


ម្តង សមរង្សី ស្រែកថា គាំទ្រមហាមិត្តចិនរបស់យើង

អញ អើយ អញ រកអីនិយាយមិនចេញទេ

Anonymous said...

10:30AM,10:24am,10:26AM,
Stop being a scumbag! are you blind? Look at the destruction around you.

Support your own people who have suffered enough. Don't let greed make you want to hurt your own kind.

Anonymous said...

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា ទៅយកដីពី យួន

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា ទៅដកគល់ឈើនៅព្រំដែន ខ្មែរ-យួន

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា ទៅធ្វើបាតុកម្ម ងាប់ខ្មែរមិនតិច

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា អោយខ្មែរងើបប៉ះបោរ
ធ្វើអោយចលាចលស្រុកទេសទៅ

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា និងប្តឹង សំដាចមន៏ហ៊ុនសែន ដាក់គុក

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ស្រែកថា កន្ថោរមួយ ចែកគ្នា គុយ ម្នាក់ពាក់កណ្តាល អណត្តិ


ម្តង សមរង្សី ស្រែកថា គាំទ្រមហាមិត្តចិនរបស់យើង

អញ អើយ អញ រកអីនិយាយមិនចេញទេ

Anonymous said...

10:50 AM
10:50 AM

ភ្លេចមួយ ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ​ជេរចិន

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី លិតបាតជើងចិន

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី ជេរសំដាចមន៏ ហ៊ុនសែន

ម្តង សមរង្ស៊ី លិតបាតជើងសំដាចមន៏ ហ៊ុនសែន​

Anonymous said...

មើលអ្ហា​កុំថាឲ្យគ្នាអញពេកមើអ្ហា​។អញទ្រាំរស់មួយយួនដូចពួកអ្ហែងមិនកើតទេ​៕

Anonymous said...

It's a dillema or a curse, not China, nor ASEAN can have a too powerful vietnam next door; and the US can flirt only with the vietcongs because full committment to the vietcongs will mean destabilizing American long-time allies in SEA.

Cambodia is the wild card that China needs, and US cannot ignore.

Anonymous said...

I take what is yours it is ok.
You take what is partly mine it is not ok.
Wake up you stupid Viet your time is up.
Prepare for a long suffering if you still have that greed.

Anonymous said...

Some of the youn who are writing in KhKhmer, but I think you can't fool anyone.

Anonymous said...

សូមខ្មែរគ្រប់រូបចងចាំពាក្យចាស់ថា,"សូមកុំធ្វើ
ជាមនុស្សមិនដឹងខ្យល់"។
Politicians should know how the
win of change in the world.
Loss money could be gained,loss
time lost forever.
A Khmer saying said,"think first
before drawing".Think about the two
superpowers USA and China.Which
one should Cambodia lean on?
Will USA be back on Vietnam,
when China disputes with Vietnam on few islands in South China sea?
The war of words becomes the war of guns coming up.
Cambodia should be well prepared
before the wind of change comes
by.

Anonymous said...

កុំថាអោយ លោក អែកអុដុំ ប្រធាន សមរង្ស៊ីពេកមើរ ប្រយ័ត្ន លោក អែកអុដុំ ប្រធាន

តូចចិត្ត លាលែង ឈប់បាត់ទៅ ខ្មែរច្បាស់ជារលាយសូន្យហើយ បើគ្មាន សមរង្ស៊ីនោះ

មនុស្សខ្មែរ ១៤លាននាក់និង មិនចេះធើអីកើតទេ

ទាល់តែ លោក អែកអុដុំ ប្រធាន :D

Anonymous said...

khmer people of cambodia always remember our koh tral island lost to vietcong, so we can never support vietcong stealing from china, really! we know well how losing one precious island like our khmer island of koh tral island is like! so we too demand viet/youn return our khmer koh tral island back to cambodia, otherwise, china should nuke vietnam to ashes, really!