Showing posts with label Garment exports. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Garment exports. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 16, 2010

U.S. Apparel Retailers Turn Their Gaze Beyond China

Wednesday, June 16, 2010
By ELIZABETH HOLMES
The Wall Street Journal


Rising labor costs in China are forcing U.S. apparel and accessories retailers, such as AnnTaylor Stores Corp. and Coach Inc., to consider relocating at least some of their production to countries with cheaper work forces. But doing so could risk increasing other expenses, such as shipping.

"We are looking to move production into lower-cost geographies, most notably Vietnam and India," Mike Devine, Coach's chief financial officer, said at a conference last week. The luxury-handbag retailer already produces goods in those countries, but plans to increase its presence in both of them.

Guess Inc. is thinking along similar lines. Dennis Secor, the fashion brand's chief financial officer, said in an interview that Guess is looking to build its production capabilities in Vietnam, Cambodia and Indonesia.

Recent minimum-wage increases have pushed up Chinese labor costs by 5% to 15% on average this year, said Rick Darling, president of LF USA, a unit of Hong Kong-based Li & Fung Ltd., which acts as a go-between for retailers and their webs of suppliers. In the southern coastal province of Guangdong, one of a handful of hubs for apparel and accessories makers, the monthly minimum wage rose on average by more than 20%, effective May 1, the firm said.

The gains come as Chinese workers more broadly have been securing wage increases, partly through labor disputes. In addition, their government has sought to steer manufacturing away from labor-intensive, low-technology industries, such as textiles, into more-sophisticated products, such as electronics devices.

The higher pay has boosted the purchasing power of Chinese consumers, but is pressuring U.S. apparel chains and others that rely on low-cost labor. Along with rising prices of cotton and transportation, the wage increases could push apparel retailers' costs in China up 2% to 5% a year, said Mr. Darling.

.That prospect has sent retailers scrambling to find new ways to reduce production costs. If they fail, they will have to absorb the higher costs, battering their margins, which have just begun to recover from the recession. Or, they could pass the costs along to consumers, a risky move at a time when shoppers are beginning to regain some of their appetite for spending.

"It is a really bad time for labor costs to be rising," said Jeremy Rubman, retail strategist at consulting firm Kurt Salmon Associates. "Nobody wants to alienate the consumer that's finally coming back."

J.C. Penney Co. said recently that its apparel makers have been leaving China for Indonesia, Vietnam, India and Bangladesh for the past five years. Those countries "have a better cost base from a labor standpoint," said Jim Kenney, Penney's senior vice president of corporate strategy.

AnnTaylor Chief Financial Officer Michael Nicholson said his company has been working with its top 15 suppliers, which manufacture about 60% to 65% of its products, to relocate to lower-cost countries. But Mr. Nicholson added a caveat: the moves will only happen "once they prove that the quality is there."

Indeed, for the money, the quality of Chinese-made goods is tough to match, and labor is just one of the costs of production. Others include the costs of raw materials like textiles, production facilities, transportation and quality control and training.

The skills of China's labor force and its familiarity with the ways and expectations of U.S. companies, exceed that of any other Asian country, said Mr. Rubman, the retail strategist.

Guangdong province is known for its footwear and handbag work, which is difficult to replicate. Moreover, labor typically accounts for between 15% and 22% of the total cost of a garment, while fabric and logistics can account for as much as 60%, according to Hana Ben-Shabat, a partner in the retail practice of consulting firm A.T. Kearney.

Moving production to Bangladesh to take advantage of that nation's lower labor costs could raise transportation costs, in part because the country is off the beaten path for shipping lines, said Ms. Ben-Shabat.

Vietnam has a big labor pool, but textiles aren't as available there as in China, meaning retailers would have to ship in fabrics, said Andrew Jassin, managing director of fashion consulting firm Jassin Consulting Group.

"The only replacement for China is China," said Li & Fung's Mr. Darling, adding that his firm is scouting production possibilities in northern and western China. Since those areas have played only a minor role in the country's manufacturing boom, wages there remain relatively low.

Saturday, January 31, 2009

Out Of Luck?

UNFORTUNATE: Cambodian workers leave after their shift at a garment factory in Phnom Penh. (Photo courtesy: TANG CHHIN SOTHY/ AFP)
UNDER CONSTRUCTION: Foreign companies that were the main drivers of the Cambodia’s construction sector have been winding down their activities in response to developments in their home countries. (Photo courtesy: TANG CHHIN SOTHY/ AFP)
BONE OF CONTENTION: The Preah Vihear temple. (Photo courtesy: The Straits Times/ AsiaNews)

2009-01-31
By BRUCE GALE In Phnom Penh
The Straits Times (Singapore)
AsiaNews


Just as the stage seemed set for further growth, the four drivers of Cambodia’s economy—agriculture, garment exports, tourism and construction—were hit by changes in external conditions.

"Unlucky.” This was the assessment of the Cambodian economy by Vikram Nehru, the World Bank’s chief economist for East Asia and the Pacific, late last year. It certainly seems appropriate.

While citizens in just about every country in the region can blame the current global economic storm for at least some of their problems, Cambodians probably have more reason than most to feel aggrieved.

Still one of the world’s poorest countries, Cambodia was nevertheless doing well before the global crisis hit. Recovering from a long period of political and social disruption dating back to the 1970s, the economy grew by an average of 11.1% a year between 2004 and 2007.

And the elections of July last year, which saw a landslide victory for the ruling Cambodian People’s Party, suggested that the country would soon be able to add political stability to its list of attractions.

The garment sector, which began to expand rapidly in the mid-1990s, provided employment for about 350,000 people. The tourism industry was also booming, with the number of foreign visitors rising by more than 20% annually. Further evidence of the country’s success could be seen in the growing level of direct foreign investment, which reached a high of 10% of gross domestic product (GDP) in 2007.

There were problems, of course. They included rampant corruption, rising inflation, a dysfunctional public service, infrastructure bottlenecks and a developing property market bubble. But with the economy making great strides, and with leaders no longer preoccupied with political survival, there was hope that at least some of these issues would be addressed.

Indeed, soon after the elections, economic managers moved quickly to minimise financial sector risks arising from the enthusiasm with which local banks were rushing to profit from the economic boom. The central bank doubled reserve requirements in July, introduced a ceiling on loans to the real estate sector, then tripled capital requirements in September. Meanwhile, plans were well advanced for the establishment of a stock market.

But just as the stage seemed set for further growth, the four drivers of the Cambodian economy—agriculture, garment exports, tourism and construction—were hit by changes in external conditions.

The tourism industry got into trouble as early as July, when the decision by Unesco to list Preah Vihear temple as a World Heritage Site resulted in a military stand-off between Cambodian and Thai forces. Cambodia also suffered from the effects of Thailand’s internal turmoil last month, when anti-government protesters forced the closure of Bangkok’s international airport. The result was a wave of cancellation of hotel reservations at Siem Reap during the height of the tourist season. The global financial crisis looks set to cut further into tourist arrivals.

The garment industry, meanwhile, has begun to suffer from lower demand in the United States, its main export market. Expectations that rice exports would boost economic growth have also been dashed by the fall in international prices since their mid-2008 peak.

The juxtaposition of these political and economic developments has already been reflected in a 25-per-cent drop in revenues from the kingdom’s trade-dependent railway network last year. Rail links with Thailand were cut completely during the tension with Thailand in October.

Finally, South Korean and other foreign companies that were the main drivers of the nation’s construction sector have been winding down their activities in response to developments in their home countries. Modern Cambodia’s first-ever property boom is no more.

Influenced, perhaps, by years of rapid growth, the government late last year rejected as too gloomy an International Monetary Fund report that suggested that GDP growth would fall to 4.8% this year. But officials have since responded to the global slowdown by announcing a budget that increased spending and offered incentives to the garment industry. They have also delayed the launch of the stock exchange.

Early last month, foreign donors demonstrated their continued faith in the country by pledging more than US$950 million in aid, an increase of almost $300 million over pledges made in 2007.

Even so, there is little doubt that the nation faces difficult times. Foreign direct investment fell last year and, according to the World Bank, will likely fall again this year.

With the garment and tourism sectors faltering, widespread unemployment is a distinct possibility. Fifty per cent of the population is under 20 years of age, suggesting that a large number of job seekers will begin to enter the workforce over the next few years.

Yet all is not lost. While international rice prices have fallen, they are still relatively high. Programmes designed to boost agriculture could help absorb some of the unemployed.

Meanwhile, continued strong supervision of the banking sector, an increase in government-funded infrastructure projects and further moves to upgrade the legal framework for investment could help prepare the country for the inevitable recovery. In times like these, Cambodia needs to make its own luck.