Showing posts with label Thai rural poor. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Thai rural poor. Show all posts

Sunday, May 23, 2010

Political temperature soars in Thailand's red capital

May 23, 2010
By Peter Janssen
DPA


Khon Kaen, Thailand - While red-shirted protestors ran amok in Bangkok last Wednesday, looting stores, breaking into bank branches and setting alight 36 buildings, a less publicized riot was underway in Khon Kaen, in northeastern Thailand, called Isan.

On May 13, hundreds of red shirt sympathizers burned down Khon Kaen City Hall and the office of the state-run National Broadcasting Television. Others attacked the palatial home of government politician Prajak Klaewklarharn.

In the assault on Prajak, who belongs to the Bhumjai Thai Party - a partner in the current coalition government - two protestors were shot dead by guards. Similar outbreaks were reported Wednesday in five other provincial towns, but Khon Kaen's uprising was the fiercest.

Khon Kaen is deemed the north-eastern capital of the red shirt movement, officially called the United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD), which launched a mass protest in Bangkok on March 12 to force Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva to dissolve parliament and hold new elections.

The protestors seized Ratchaprasong Road on April 3, turning the once posh commercial district of luxury department stores and five star hotels into a city of tents and makeshift sidewalk shacks, until troops finally dispersed the demonstration on Wednesday.

Hardcore members of the red shirts went on a rampage in Bangkok Wednesday evening after their leaders surrendered to authorities, raising serious concerns about Thailand's long term stability.

With many of the UDD leaders now under arrest, there are fears that the movement could take a more violent turn.

'Now that there are no leaders, the worm has gone underground,' said Yongyut Kongpatimakorn, a red shirt organizer in Khon Kaen, about 350 kilometres north-east of Bangkok. 'You've got a headless body that isn't being told where to throw its fist. What happens next is unpredictable and out of control, but it will not stop.'

Like most red shirt supporters, Yongyut, 74, is an ardent admirer of fugitive former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra, whose populist policies implemented during his two terms in office during 2001 to 2006 won him a mass following, especially among voters in Isan, Thailand's poorest region and home to nearly half the population.

Thaksin remains widely revered in Isan as the first prime minister to address some of their chronic problems, such as widespread indebtedness, giving them a sense of political entitlement that was missing before.

For many red shirts the protest in Bangkok was largely about hastening new polls that would bring in to power a new pro-Thaksin government. For Thaksin, who has been living in self exile to avoid a two-year jail term on an abuse-of-power conviction, the protest was a worthy investment.

'Thaksin spent hundreds of millions of baht to sponsor the protest by covering transportation costs and food supplies,' Yongyut said. 'The protestors weren't paid to be there, but they were happy to be getting three free meals a day.'

Now that the UDD protest in Bangkok has been dispersed, the government faces an uphill task in pacifying the red shirts.

'I believe the majority of people in the North-east didn't like to see the violence, the burning of buildings,' said Buapun Promphakping, a social science professor at Khon Kaen University.

'But meanwhile I think they still agree with the demands of the red shirts. They want democracy, they want equality, they don't want the traditional bureaucracy running everything and don't want double standards.'

Abhisit has promised to address some of these issues in the course of five-point reconciliation roadmap he will push through in coming months before holding an election, but given the widespread mistrust he faces in Isan, where his Democrat party has never won an election, there is skepticism that the roadmap can succeed in healing the now deep wounds.

'What will happen in the future is there will be resistance from red shirts, mostly in the North and North-east, but I won't say it will turn in to an insurgency like what we had 30 years ago,' Buapun said. 'That could only happen when you have support form outside countries.'

In the 1970s, the North-east was a hotbed for the Communist Party of Thailand, which had support from communist China.

The communist movement notoriously failed to ignite the passions of Thailand's rural masses. It remains to be seen how deep the red movement has sunk into the countryside, even in Isan.

'As I see it, the UDD leaders just took people from the villagers to die for them in Bangkok,' said Apichai, a former headman at Kam Pla Lai village, about 50 kilometres north-west of Khon Kaen city.

'In this province they don't all love the reds. There are some who love their opponents,' he said.

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Thai protesters say will disperse to end standoff

April 14, 2009
Anusak Konglang
The Age (Australia)


Anti-government protesters massed outside the Thai premier's offices in Bangkok said that they would disperse as troops backed up by armoured vehicles tightened their grip on the city.

A day after running street battles left two dead and 113 injured, soldiers encircled thousands of protesters dug in around Government House, the offices of Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva, AFP reporters said.

"We held talks among the leaders since last night and have agreed that we will disperse our protesters for a while," Prateep Ungsongtham Hata, who is a core protest leader, told AFP, adding they wanted to avert loss of life.

"We are not surrendering, we are just dispersing the gathering because we have done nothing wrong," she said, after reports that the protesters loyal to ousted former premier Thaksin Shinawatra would give themselves up.

The announcement came after security forces tightened a cordon around the estimated 2,000 protesters left at the site.

The government said it wanted a peaceful end to the crisis, after security forces Monday used tear gas and automatic weapons to clear the rest of Bangkok -- which remains under a state of emergency -- of pro-Thaksin demonstrators.

"Today we will rely on negotiation and pressure with the protesters. We still have time although we want the situation to end swiftly," government spokesman Panitan Wattanayagorn told AFP earlier.

He added that the government was ready to compromise with demonstrators by allowing them to rally in agreed areas so Abhisit can return to work at his offices by Thursday.

Hundreds of soldiers brandishing assault rifles and carrying riot shields moved closer shortly after Panitan spoke, and armoured personnel carriers and Humvees blocked off all access points to Government House.

The military used loudspeakers mounted on trucks to issued further warnings to disperse or face the consequences.

The number of protesters at the site fell to around 2,500 overnight as the pressure appeared to tell on Thaksin's so-called "Red Shirts" after hours of running battles in sweltering heat on Monday.

"The situation at the rally site last night was very tense because we were surrounded by soldiers and there were constant rumours that they would start a crackdown," protest leader Chinawat Haboonpard told AFP by telephone.

Army spokesman Colonel Sunsern Kaewkumnerd said protesters opened fire on two security checkpoints during the night, critically injuring one soldier.

He also said troops had suppressed protests in three provinces on Monday, during which demonstrators took control of a television station and a railway terminal.

Abhisit has hailed the success of the military campaign to dislodge the protesters, amid fears of a repeat of the violence in Bangkok last October in which two people died and 500 were injured.

He remains under huge pressure to end the crisis quickly to prevent further damage to Thailand's international image, after years of unrest following the military coup that ousted Thaksin in 2006.

Several countries advised tourists not to travel to Thailand or to exercise caution if they are already there, while the US State Department condemned the "unacceptable violence" by the protesters.

Bangkok emergency services on Tuesday confirmed that the toll from clashes between security forces, demonstrators and local residents stood at two dead and 113 people wounded, with 44 still being treated in hospital.

On Monday, troops unleashed volleys of gunfire and hurled tear gas at the protesters, who sent buses hurtling towards lines of soldiers and torched a government ministry with petrol bombs.

The protesters were forced to retreat to Government House, where as night fell residents erected roadblocks and armed themselves with guns and swords, setting the stage for a deadly confrontation with the "Red Shirts".

The Red Shirts want Abhisit to quit and call new elections, saying he came to power through an undemocratic parliamentary vote following a court ruling that drove Thaksin's allies from office.

Analysts say there is little hope of a long-term solution to Thailand's problems so long as it remains divided between Thaksin's mostly poor supporters and his foes in the power circles of the palace, military and bureaucracy.

Thailand’s Chaos Exposes Division Between Rich, Poor

An anti-government protester carries a flag in front of tires being burned near an intersection in Bangkok on April 13, 2009. Photographer: Udo Weitz/Bloomberg News

By Shanthy Nambair and Shamim Adam

April 14 (Bloomberg) -- As Thailand descended into chaos over the weekend, forcing a dozen Asian leaders to flee, one protest banner summed up the national divide: “Stop Privy Council Rule, Bring Back True Democracy.”

The words captured the underlying feud between the rural poor, who in 2001 voted in an unlikely champion in billionaire Thaksin Shinawatra, and the Bangkok elite, embodied by King Bhumibol Adulyadej’s advisers on the council, whom they blame for the 2006 coup that removed Thaksin.

Thaksin’s supporters have taken to the streets aiming to oust U.K.-born and Oxford-educated Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva, the face of the establishment for them. Clashes with troops in Bangkok yesterday left two dead and at least 123 people injured and led Australia and Britain to warn their citizens to avoid Thailand. The clashes came one day after the government declared its third emergency decree since September.

“Many people feel that the outcome in Thai politics is determined by an old elite, and this is something that they are protesting against,” said Thitinan Pongsudhirak, director of the Institute for Strategic and International Studies at Chulalongkorn University in Bangkok. “This time, the protesters are going against the establishment, not just Abhisit.”

The prospect of prolonged unrest threatens to deter foreign investment just as the Thai economy confronts its first annual contraction in 11 years. Thailand’s tourism industry leaders will meet tomorrow to review their target of 14 million arrivals this year and will likely cut it, Juthaporn Rerngronasa, deputy governor, of the state-run Tourism Authority of Thailand said.

Ratings Impact

Fitch Ratings today joined Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor’s in saying they may cut the nation’s foreign- currency debt ratings as the continued instability hurts tourism revenue and spurs capital outflows. Fitch and S&P have BBB+ ratings for Thailand, a level similar to Moody’s.

“The costs of this political turmoil are rising and the economy will be hit badly,” said Tetsuji Sano, a Singapore- based economist at Nomura Holdings Inc. “Foreigners are losing confidence, companies will be more reluctant to invest and tourists will choose to go somewhere else.”

The latest crisis erupted when pro-Thaksin supporters, clad in red to set themselves apart from their opponents, stormed the Association of Southeast Asian Nations summit in the resort town of Pattaya on April 10.

Abhisit, 44, was forced to cancel the meetings, a personal humiliation that also prevented regional leaders from discussing joint methods to combat the global financial crisis.

Uneasy Standoff

This morning, the protests had devolved into an uneasy standoff between army troops and demonstrators outside the Government House compound where the premier’s office is located. The soldiers sat and watched protesters who have set up what amounts to a market with stands selling barbecued food, first- aid supplies, soft drinks and souvenirs.

“Our top priority is to bring the country back to normal,” Abhisit said in a nationally broadcast address yesterday. “We have no intention of harming anybody.”

Thaksin, living in exile to escape a prison sentence for a corruption conviction, told supporters he was prepared to return to Thailand immediately in comments that were broadcast on the nation’s PBS television channel.

The former tycoon-turned-politician won two elections on support from Thailand’s poorest region by slashing health-care costs and handing out cheap loans. At the same time, Thaksin enraged the royalist elite by helping companies he owned and promoting friends in key government institutions.

Thaksin’s former wife and her brother were sentenced last year to jail for tax evasion.

Forecast in Doubt

Thai Finance Minister Korn Chatikavanij today said the government will lower its forecast that the economy will contract 3 percent this year as demonstrations disrupt tourism and investment.

The size of the cut will depend on how long it takes to return the country to “normalcy,” Korn said in a Bloomberg Television interview. Protests have made reviving the economy a harder task, he said.

Consumer sentiment is at the lowest in more than seven years, and the government predicts unemployment will double as companies including the local unit of Toyota Motor Corp. fire workers.

“If the violence spreads further and if Yellow Shirt protesters also take to the streets, things can turn ugly,” said Ramya Suryanarayanan, an economist at DBS Group Holdings Ltd. in Singapore, referring to yellow-clad government backers. She predicts a 3.5 percent contraction in 2009.

The Bank of Thailand has reduced its benchmark interest rate to the lowest level since July 2004 to stem the economy’s decline. The central bank cut the one-day bond repurchase rate by 25 basis points to 1.25 percent on April 8, adding to its most aggressive reductions ever.

Government Spending

The government has said it will spend about 1.57 trillion baht ($44 billion) over three years, mainly on infrastructure projects, to help create jobs and spur growth. The spending may now be delayed by political uncertainty, said Nomura’s Sano.

Thailand has experienced 10 successful coups since absolute monarchy was abolished in 1932. Only two of Thailand’s constitutions since then have mandated fully elected parliaments.

During his six decades on the throne, Bhumibol, 81, has achieved near god-like status. Criticizing him or his family is a crime. Earlier this month, a 34-year-old Thai blogger was sentenced to 10 years in prison for doctoring photos of the king and posting them on the Internet.

The king is head of state under Thailand’s constitution, while the prime minister and parliament govern. Bhumibol’s rare comments on public events have ended past conflicts, notably in May 1992 when government troops killed and wounded dozens of pro-democracy protesters in Bangkok’s streets.

Constitution Changed

After the 2006 coup, the military rewrote the constitution to favor non-elected institutions and make it easier for judges to dissolve political parties. Thaksin’s supporters won a December 2007 election to restore democracy, only to see the courts remove two successive prime ministers. Abhisit took office at the end of last year after demonstrators who supported him shut down the country’s airports for eight days and a court dissolved the previous ruling party for vote-buying.

More than 100,000 Red Shirts on April 8 rallied outside the home of the king’s top adviser, Prem Tinsulanonda, demanding that he and two colleagues step down. Prem, 88, a former prime minister and army chief, denies allegations that he was behind the coup that toppled Thaksin.

“In the near term, the best way to avoid violence is for Abhisit to call an election,” said Kanin Boonsuwan, a constitutional law professor at Chulalongkorn University. “Longer term, the constitution needs to change to give more power to elected representatives.”

To contact the reporters on this story:
Shanthy Nambiar in Bangkok at snambiar1@bloomberg.net;
Shamim Adam in Bangkok at sadam2@bloomberg.net