Tuesday, March 10, 2009

Election for Power Legitimacy in Cambodia: 3rd Episode "A Strongman in a Weak State"

3rd Episode "Tale of a Strongman in a Weak State"
Posted at: http://cambodianbrightfuture.blogspot.com/

Last time in 2nd Episode I described "the statement of Cambodia Prime Minister to discard the National Congress from National Constitution, his fearful political rhetoric to jeopardize the people, and the use of major parliamentary to lift opposition immunity without conscience" are the sign of leader's inability to protect the constitution, to provide rubric for bottom-line people, and lacking of check and balance of power...which all these showcase the characteristic of "weak state" that "strongman" is perpetuating to consolidate his power.
CPP is leading major voice in the assembly but this party is not relevant to the amount of valid votes. CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is far away from all vote registrants of 8 millions. CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is very very far way from the total Cambodian population (14 millions).

This time I will concentrate on the "Cambodia Election" has been used as the mean to legitimize personal power. And this practice is showing Cambodia as one of the weak states lacking willingness to implement "the rule of law". Major Cambodian people might see the victory of CPP in recent national election (27 July 2008) as their proud victory, but observers and academic analysts see this election as a game of "power legitimacy". There are numerous complaints made by Opposition Parties about the unequal media distribution, ballot irregularities, vote buying, intimidation, bias National Election Committee (NEC), and other disenfranchisement etc. But all these might not be relevant like "the very low participation of the voters".

When we are looking at the numbers of vote registrants, we satisfy with that. There were about 8 million registrants or around 60 percent (8/14 millions). But when we look at the actual valid vote number, there are around 6 millions cast their ballots (or 6,010,277 total valid votes). So we can say that 2 millions skeptically lost their chance to cast the ballot. But when we look at the vote numbers casting for CPP, there are around 3 millions (3,492,374 votes). This number is not significant for CPP to receive major seats in the assembly at all. However, CPP is taking absolute major voice in the parliament. This party is holding 90 seats among all 123 seats.

This 90 seats don't correctly reflect the 5.4 percent votes cast for CPP at all. CPP is leading major voice in the assembly but this party is not relevant to the amount of valid votes. CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is far away from all vote registrants of 8 millions. CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is very very far way from the total Cambodian population (14 millions). This election figure tells us the myth of political legimacy gained by the CPP in Cambodia. Comparing 3.4 million voted for CPP with 14 millions of total population surely informs us the "weakness" of Cambodia nation. It is weak because the 90 seats of major voice really doesn't reflect the support of Cambodians. CPP is lacking support from Cambodian people, but why opposition party cannot step into this situation? This also shows the "weakness" of Cambodia nation. Opposition needs to warm up themselves a little bit. CPP is not truly leading opposition party in a strong manner, but in a weak manner and manipulation.

In conclusion, CPP is proud of its victory over election just for their own power and interest. But CPP's winning of electiion truly informs us the "The Strongman in a Weak State".

KY

7 comments:

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Anonymous said...

You see what I mean? The loser, especially Ah Khmer-Yuon (Ky), never stop crying and finding nonsense excuses for their lost. They always point at this and that but not themselves.

Now they are trying to put down the Khmer's system again by expecting the entire 14 millions to vote, but how can they? A good chunk of the population is under voting age, and then we have another chunk that don't care about voting or can't vote for whatever reason. Therefore, this clearly shows how desperate Ah Khmer-Yuon is by relentlessly trying to deceive Khmer non-stop.

At any rate, 8 millions registered voters out of 14 millions is very good number, considering the US get less than 100 millions voters out of 300 millions population.

But what is important here is that we don't need everyone to vote to know what they want by taking a good samples as they do in the survey. Accordingly, the CPP won by a landslide regardless whether or not the 14 millions are all voting. The probability guaranteed it with a great level of confidence. Thus, legally make the CPP the voice of Cambodia ALONE. So shut the fuck up, if you don't like it.

Anonymous said...

4:00PM

Read KY's statement again:

CPP is leading major voice in the assembly but this party is not relevant to the amount of valid votes (6 millions?). CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is far away from all vote registrants of 8 millions. CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is very very far way from the total Cambodian population (14 millions).

His analysis is accurate because only 54% from all 6 million valid votes...how can CPP got almost 90% seats?

His key analysis is not about who won and who lost? It is about the unbelievable predicament from this election outcome.

He also blamed Opposition Party of unable to grab vote more than that. And both parties are unrealistic winner and unrealistic loser cause Cambodia become a "weak state" through this manipulative number of votes.

Use your brain and slowly concentrate on KY's analysis again.

Anonymous said...

Yeah, like I said, 4:57, you can't count the 14 millions because only about 8 millions voted. But from the 8 millions (you may look at it as a huge sample for the rest), we can tell with great confidence statistically that the rest would have voted for CPP in the same proportion as the 8 millions, and therefore gave CPP all the right to rule Cambodia ALONE. Get the picture?

Anonymous said...

6:30PM

8 millions didn't vote. Only 6 millions votes. 2 millions have been marginalized by the complicate procedures and intimidation, or given up their own rights.

However, among 6 millions, CPP got only 3 millions...so use your brain again, why only 50% of all valid votes, CPP can rise up to 90% or also 123 seats?

This is so questionable for CPP's legitimacy that their effort, trick and manipulation can give them this unexpected expectation. But finally, this outcome is the key evidence for the illegality of CPP. Next time, CPP has to project the trick that cannot produce this low class outcome again.

50% of the valid votes (6 millions), but CPP can rise up to 90% of the assembly seats?--This is a very cheap outcome! Unbelievable!

Anonymous said...

What? where did you got the 3 millions from, 2:41? The CPP got 6 millions out of 8 million which is over 70% (or more than 2/3) that gave them the 90+ seats. Stop smoking those funny cigarettes in Long Beach, will ya?

Anonymous said...

Go and check this chart http://www.necelect.org.kh/English/ElectionResult/2008/Result%2002-09-2008.pdf

How many millions that CPP got?

Don't be so stupid and using all arrogant words, if not so your brain not like a brain of human being, but it is a brain of shrimp.