Political Analysis
Op-Ed: Cambodian Bright Future
Dear Readers:
While I am jumping to analyze the tension situation between Cambodia and Thailand especially the appointment of Thaksin as Hun Sen's economic adviser, I am expecting that my analysis would be one of the contributions for Cambodian nation, and others will not label me as a "traitor" because of my contradict opinion in appointing fugitive former PM Thaksin as Hun Sen's economic adviser.
First, Cambodian government is putting Cambodian people and her nation into a burning fire. Cambodia has deserved full potential to play role of international diplomacy with Thailand, but why Hun Sen chose "crashing strategy" in this time? Cambodia can use international laws and Paris Peace Accord as means to deal with Thailand and also with Vietnam. But why Cambodia government has never paid attention and utilized this legitimate mean? Why Hun Sen appointed Abhisit's rival as personal economic adviser?
Second, appointing Thaksin is like slapping incumbent PM Abhisit. The question is that it is good or bad to publicly slap Abhisit like a comedian without having proper plan to deal with the border issue? Or Hun Sen is expecting to get that land back during appointing Thaksin or what? I think it is too fast and very fool to assume that Thaksin, Chavalit and Abhisit are fighting with each other because of border conflict with Cambodia. If we use history as evidence, we have seen that both Thai and Vietnamese have played double standard game to lure Khmers into their trap. Finally their national interests are the most priority. We have had huge evidence in hand that only Khmers who have fought each others in centuries but ceded land to foreigners. Or we can say more Khmers are fighting with each others, more death and land lost occurred; but more Thais and Vietnamese are fighting with each other more progressive and land gained occurred to their nation. With this evidence, has Hun Sen realized this? And what Hun Sen's vision to gain land for Cambodia?
Third, ASEAN and UNs will support Cambodia if Cambodia utilize national laws to deal with Thailand. Thailand has already expressed their concern and disgrace if Cambodia plan to use that international laws especially Paris Peace Agreement to deal with them of border issue. But ASEAN, UNs and international communities dare not support Cambodia in appointing Thaksin as economic adviser to confront with another rival of Thailand. More than this, Abhisit government is more released and happier than before now.
Fourth, appointing Thaksin as Hun Sen's adviser is absolutely appeared as "internal interference". Cambodia should not try to deny this actual allegation. Cambodia has to do more research to seek that when two rivals in their country are fighting with each other, and we gives guns and supplies to one opponent publicly, what act should we name ourselves? Retaliations have happened among this public support to one rival to fight with another. This is not a stage of boxing match or football court. It is lives and blood of innocent people. We have huge evidence to show what happened to such act. America tried/sentenced Saddam to death, may be not because of Saddam's dictatorship and violence, it surely demonstrated that it is because of America who grasped that Saddam supported terrorists to bomb and eliminate America. This happened as well in Cambodia. America supported Lon Nol to topple N. Sihanouk and neglected the atrocity in Cambodia was because of N.Sihanouk who allowed north Vietnamese troops to deliver their force and supplies in Cambodia land to eliminate America. The current situation that Hun Sen has developed his international politics with Thailand might be very similar or the same. Finally Cambodian people will be the victims, not Hun Sen and his colleagues.
Fifth, the most important impression for political analysts and scholars regarding Hun Sen's political move with Thailand is the suspect on "conflict of interest between Vietnam and Thailand" in using their hegemony over Cambodia. There are many failures that Thailand has accepted in securing their friendship with Cambodia. Frequently, more conflict Thailand has made with Cambodia, more loss of interests Thailand has to give away to Vietnam. For instance, the burning of Thai embassy in Phnom Penh is a slap on the face, but in order to normalize its relations with Cambodia, Thailand can accept millions of dollar as compensation/reconstructing their embassy back. In that time, Cambodian police authority have not been charged of neglecting its duty. But Cambodian people money has to use to pay back to Thailand. Cambodia gained some from that burning fever, but Cambodia lost its face in the international stage of diplomacy and million of dollars should be used to reduce Cambodian poverty. Interestingly, Vietnam can increase its hegemony over Cambodia more than Thailand.
In the meantime, Vietnam will gain both giving hand to help Cambodia to fight with Thailand and sell more products to Cambodian people who are more inclined to consumer than as producer behavior. Undeniably, Vietnamese troops will be sent to help their former alliance Hun Sen and the CPP. More gratitude and sympathy will be appeared among CPP's members and some Cambodian people who are drunken of nationalism of Preah Vihear scheme. More than this, Vietnam's secret intervention to support red shirt to fight with yellow shirt will become more intensified and effective as Vietnamese troops can station along border of Cambodia-Thailand.
History has repeated again and again about the fool policy of Cambodian leaders in fighting with Thailand, Vietnam come to support and ceded some land as dowry to Vietnam.
But more dangerous than that is the policy of fighting with each other among Khmers under Hun Sen's leadership. Hun Sen is very smart in fighting with his own Khmer race in order to live his life alone in this tiny land of Khmer Empire. Pol Pot has been blamed about that policy. Now it comes to Hun Sen who can mimic this policy correctly. Hun Sen should utilize international laws and Paris Peace Accord to handle with Thailand, not to closely associate with Thaksin and try to push Sam Rainsy to ally with Abhisit without equating Sam Rainsy's self consensus. Hun Sen is good in taming Sam Rainsy but not good in conducting a proper policy to deal with Thailand and Vietnam regarding our beloved border protection.
What a misfortune gene of Cambodian leaders?
In Solidarity
KY
Op-Ed: Cambodian Bright Future
Dear Readers:
But more dangerous than that is the policy of fighting with each other among Khmers under Hun Sen's leadership. Hun Sen is very smart in fighting with his own Khmer race in order to live his life alone in this tiny land of Khmer Empire. Pol Pot has been blamed about that policy. Now it comes to Hun Sen who can mimic this policy correctly. Hun Sen should utilize international laws and Paris Peace Accord to handle with Thailand, not to closely associate with Thaksin and try to push Sam Rainsy to ally with Abhisit without equating Sam Rainsy's self consensus. Hun Sen is good in taming Sam Rainsy but not good in conducting a proper policy to deal with Thailand and Vietnam regarding our beloved border protection.
While I am jumping to analyze the tension situation between Cambodia and Thailand especially the appointment of Thaksin as Hun Sen's economic adviser, I am expecting that my analysis would be one of the contributions for Cambodian nation, and others will not label me as a "traitor" because of my contradict opinion in appointing fugitive former PM Thaksin as Hun Sen's economic adviser.
First, Cambodian government is putting Cambodian people and her nation into a burning fire. Cambodia has deserved full potential to play role of international diplomacy with Thailand, but why Hun Sen chose "crashing strategy" in this time? Cambodia can use international laws and Paris Peace Accord as means to deal with Thailand and also with Vietnam. But why Cambodia government has never paid attention and utilized this legitimate mean? Why Hun Sen appointed Abhisit's rival as personal economic adviser?
In the meantime, Vietnam will gain both giving hand to help Cambodia to fight with Thailand and sell more products to Cambodian people who are more inclined to consumer than as producer behavior. Undeniably, Vietnamese troops will be sent to help their former alliance Hun Sen and the CPP. More gratitude and sympathy will be appeared among CPP's members and some Cambodian people who are drunken of nationalism of Preah Vihear scheme. More than this, Vietnam's secret intervention to support red shirt to fight with yellow shirt will become more intensified and effective as Vietnamese troops can station along border of Cambodia-Thailand.
Second, appointing Thaksin is like slapping incumbent PM Abhisit. The question is that it is good or bad to publicly slap Abhisit like a comedian without having proper plan to deal with the border issue? Or Hun Sen is expecting to get that land back during appointing Thaksin or what? I think it is too fast and very fool to assume that Thaksin, Chavalit and Abhisit are fighting with each other because of border conflict with Cambodia. If we use history as evidence, we have seen that both Thai and Vietnamese have played double standard game to lure Khmers into their trap. Finally their national interests are the most priority. We have had huge evidence in hand that only Khmers who have fought each others in centuries but ceded land to foreigners. Or we can say more Khmers are fighting with each others, more death and land lost occurred; but more Thais and Vietnamese are fighting with each other more progressive and land gained occurred to their nation. With this evidence, has Hun Sen realized this? And what Hun Sen's vision to gain land for Cambodia?
Third, ASEAN and UNs will support Cambodia if Cambodia utilize national laws to deal with Thailand. Thailand has already expressed their concern and disgrace if Cambodia plan to use that international laws especially Paris Peace Agreement to deal with them of border issue. But ASEAN, UNs and international communities dare not support Cambodia in appointing Thaksin as economic adviser to confront with another rival of Thailand. More than this, Abhisit government is more released and happier than before now.
Fourth, appointing Thaksin as Hun Sen's adviser is absolutely appeared as "internal interference". Cambodia should not try to deny this actual allegation. Cambodia has to do more research to seek that when two rivals in their country are fighting with each other, and we gives guns and supplies to one opponent publicly, what act should we name ourselves? Retaliations have happened among this public support to one rival to fight with another. This is not a stage of boxing match or football court. It is lives and blood of innocent people. We have huge evidence to show what happened to such act. America tried/sentenced Saddam to death, may be not because of Saddam's dictatorship and violence, it surely demonstrated that it is because of America who grasped that Saddam supported terrorists to bomb and eliminate America. This happened as well in Cambodia. America supported Lon Nol to topple N. Sihanouk and neglected the atrocity in Cambodia was because of N.Sihanouk who allowed north Vietnamese troops to deliver their force and supplies in Cambodia land to eliminate America. The current situation that Hun Sen has developed his international politics with Thailand might be very similar or the same. Finally Cambodian people will be the victims, not Hun Sen and his colleagues.
Fifth, the most important impression for political analysts and scholars regarding Hun Sen's political move with Thailand is the suspect on "conflict of interest between Vietnam and Thailand" in using their hegemony over Cambodia. There are many failures that Thailand has accepted in securing their friendship with Cambodia. Frequently, more conflict Thailand has made with Cambodia, more loss of interests Thailand has to give away to Vietnam. For instance, the burning of Thai embassy in Phnom Penh is a slap on the face, but in order to normalize its relations with Cambodia, Thailand can accept millions of dollar as compensation/reconstructing their embassy back. In that time, Cambodian police authority have not been charged of neglecting its duty. But Cambodian people money has to use to pay back to Thailand. Cambodia gained some from that burning fever, but Cambodia lost its face in the international stage of diplomacy and million of dollars should be used to reduce Cambodian poverty. Interestingly, Vietnam can increase its hegemony over Cambodia more than Thailand.
In the meantime, Vietnam will gain both giving hand to help Cambodia to fight with Thailand and sell more products to Cambodian people who are more inclined to consumer than as producer behavior. Undeniably, Vietnamese troops will be sent to help their former alliance Hun Sen and the CPP. More gratitude and sympathy will be appeared among CPP's members and some Cambodian people who are drunken of nationalism of Preah Vihear scheme. More than this, Vietnam's secret intervention to support red shirt to fight with yellow shirt will become more intensified and effective as Vietnamese troops can station along border of Cambodia-Thailand.
History has repeated again and again about the fool policy of Cambodian leaders in fighting with Thailand, Vietnam come to support and ceded some land as dowry to Vietnam.
But more dangerous than that is the policy of fighting with each other among Khmers under Hun Sen's leadership. Hun Sen is very smart in fighting with his own Khmer race in order to live his life alone in this tiny land of Khmer Empire. Pol Pot has been blamed about that policy. Now it comes to Hun Sen who can mimic this policy correctly. Hun Sen should utilize international laws and Paris Peace Accord to handle with Thailand, not to closely associate with Thaksin and try to push Sam Rainsy to ally with Abhisit without equating Sam Rainsy's self consensus. Hun Sen is good in taming Sam Rainsy but not good in conducting a proper policy to deal with Thailand and Vietnam regarding our beloved border protection.
What a misfortune gene of Cambodian leaders?
In Solidarity
KY
25 comments:
Shut up Ah Siam.
Very interesting for Hun Sen to deeply think: how can he know Abhisit, Chavalit and Thaksin are fighting with each others to cede land to Cambodia?
This analist is the "Kbal Yuon Khuor Siam" (Yuon's head, Siam's brain)
11:48AM
You have a brain of nationalism disorder, how can you take Cambodia land back from Thailand by supporting Thaksin? Please elaborate?
Excellent assessment! that is my view as well. Hun Sen & Vietnam is drowning Cambodians by promoting karaoke, music, boxing, fake religion, and nationalist idea by using Preah Vihear to cover the real problem which is economy, poverty, Cambodia's border with Vietnam, only Sam Raingsy and a few others that realized the effect of the current situation and I am sure Thailand is not that dumb? in my opinion, just ignore P.M. Hun Sen's statement, keep business as usual, otherwise you'll give him the reasons and opportunity to increase the military budget including asking Vietnam for help and on and on....
War must be the most wanted to avoid KRT. So becareful out there! Also, if Thaksin win, there will be no more Free land in Thailand. It will be red or half red country just lik eus. It's must be terrifying for Abhisit and The royal family in Thailand. So never again using Cambodian property to build your political career. It's wrong wrong wrong and now what?
Who is this KY?
Admittedly, I rarely find a good commentary from the readers in the website. Most of comments are poor written and contain so much of indecent words. Unlike those commentators, KY is a real writer. His English is perfect; his writing is clear and substantiated and his analysis is intellectual.
Bravo KY!
OS
Every one had known HUN XEN well in last 30 years and HUN XEN is not much diffent from previous Cambodia leaders in terms of power abuse and dictatorship.
Because of he grabs Cambodia as his own asset then no matter his decision making it is precious and great in his group's view.
I agree with your understanding that Cambodia could use the international law to counter with aggressive neighboring country to protect her sovereignty but I am sure that there mus be have some weakness points behind Hun Xen's agenda not to use the international law to deal with such the problem. Thos weakness are all related to Siamese and Vietnamese.
I DON'T KNOW HOW HUN XEN RESPOND IF THAILAND IS OK FOR THE BORDER MAP AGREED IN 1917 BETWEEN SIAMESE AND FRENCH AND ASK OTHER CAMBODIA NEIGHBOR TO PRACTICE THE SAME MAP TOO. IF SO HOW VALUE IS THE TRETY WITH VIETNAME IN 1983 AND 1985?
The Thais are a bunch of loonie ultra-nationalists...What is the matter with them??? It's true that Cambodia does not have economic experts of that caliber. That's why Samdech Hun Sen has the insight to import foreign know-how such as Lee Myung Bak of South Korea before he became Prime Minister and now former PM Thaksin of Thailand. The Thais are ungrateful bastards who owe so much to Cambodia for the past 800 years because they borrowed so much language and culture from the Khmers. The Thais have no power or influence beyond their borders. The Cambodians are indeed clever enough to recognise the special skill and talent possessed by Thaksin. Of course they are resentful even though he has been discarded by Thailand. Instead of fostering fraternal friendship between our two peoples (Khmer-Thai) which share so much in common, they choose the wrong path to self-destruction and humiliation. In the eyes of the world, they are indeed a crazy disturbed people...The world is laughing at Thailand.
Achar Penh
Frankly, I think Hun Sen does not really care about anything but keeping him and his buddies safe. Which means that the KRT is wanting to try more figure heads of Khmer Rouge era and Hun Sen don't really like where that is going. So what is Hun Sen usual behavior? It is what's going on now with Preah Vihear. The problem with Preah Vihear when he made that deal with Thaskin was that he thought Thaskin would still be in power and nothing would really turn into this. Now that it did, Hun Sen does not really know how to act but to make it worst. All in All he will not lose his power and does not really care what the world think of him or his Government. He will do little here and there to satisfy everyone. We the ordinary people will suffer the most. Ironic how generation after generation we kill each other.
The competency of HUN XEN is able to destroy his own Khmer blood no mater how they are as long as anyone confront with his interest.
The most vulnerable is ordinary people, the one who will be with the Cambodia fate until the end but not HUN XEN and his group.
Let see the Khmer Krom who is suffering under YOUN occupation? Where is CHEYCHETHA and his ally?
Hun Sen has NEVER PUSHED Sam Rainsy to form an alliance with PAD. Democracy has branched out around the Globe..for centuries..and Sam Rainsy is one of the new members of this Democratic Alliance Movement before the appointment of a former Thai PM even recently made. You have made more assumptions than you have anylized the current Political Delimas between Cambodia and Thailand.
Thanks you KY love your comment.
1:52PM you speak-less but full of meaning.
GOD BLESS YOU BOTH
Every one had known HUN XEN well in last 30 years and HUN XEN is not much differnt from previous Cambodia leaders in terms of power abuse and dictatorship.
Because of he grabs Cambodia as his own asset then no matter his decision making, it is precious and great in his group's view.
I agree with your understanding that Cambodia could use the international law to counter with aggressive neighboring countries to protect her sovereignty but I am sure that there must be have some weakness points behind Hun Xen's agenda not to use the international law to deal with such the problem. Thos weakness are all related to Siamese and Vietnamese.
I DON'T KNOW HOW HUN XEN WILL RESPOND IF THAILAND IS OK FOR THE BORDER MAP AGREED IN 1917 BETWEEN SIAMESE AND FRENCH AND ASK OTHER CAMBODIA NEIGHBOR TO PRACTICE THE SAME WAY TOO. IF SO HOW VALUE IS THE TREATY WITH VIETNAMESE IN 1983 AND 1985?
HUN XEN IS NEVER CARE ON THE EAST BUT HE VOWS NOT TO LOSS EVEN CENTIMETER LAND TO WEST THAILAND.
SINCE 1979 HE NEVER MAKE VIETNAMESE DIAPPOINTED.
-WITH THE WEST: HUN XEN URGES THAILAND TO RECOGNIZE THE 1917 TEATY WITH THAILAND
BUT
-WITH THE EAST: HUN XEN IS THEN PRACTICING THE 1983, 1985 TREATY WITH VIETNAM
HOW CRAZY IS??????
HUN XEN ALLOWED YOUN SOLDIER TO ARREST TIM SAKHON BACK TO VIETNAM.
HOW ABOUT SAM RAINSY? WHAT IS THE MOVE OF HUN XEN?
Remember! Hun Sen wants to be Cambodian PM for life...He knows, he is loosing land mass to the Viet. So, he must offsets it somehow by being assertive to Thailand....Hun Sen has at the moment is the opposited Thai important Kone Ouk....Thai King is Ill dying at the hospital....so, shall we say, Bangkok rolum, PP roleay, Battambang chort chay sa bai Angkor Wat....or is it too early?
WHEN CAMBODIA COULD REPAY ALL THE 1979 FAVOR BACK TO VIETNAM?, AFTER THEY GAIN ALL CAMBODIA TERRITORY????
WHEN KHMER COULD REPAY ALL THE 1979 FAVOR BACK TO CPP? AFTER HUN XEN DISAPPEAR?
WHY CAMBODIA ALWAYS OWE THE FAVOR TO YOUN??
WITH KHMER BLOOD HE IS VERY SMART TO DESTROY BUT WITH YOUN OR SIAM HE IS VERY STUPID AND INCOMPETENT.
what mr hunsen does not know is that mr thaksin is using him as a pawn for the political football between cambodia and thailand.
If Thaksin comes home to Thailand, I'm 100% sure he will be killed by Mr Abhisit, end of the story, for Mr Thaksin is being liked by 60% of his nation and is a threat to Mr Abhisit!. So, put yourself in Mr Thaksin's shoes, wouldn't you be escaping as such in order to save your soul? so, being an asylum seeker is the only way to escape and of course who doesn't want to protect a person from getting killed when he called out for your help? like me, Aust has helped me from dead while trying to escape from war in 1980s. Now i thank Aust for saving my life!. Aust
Aust...don't forget that you escaped to Australia because of UNs...but how ASEAN, UNs and international communities Hun Sen's decision to shelter Thaksin?
Your brain has been spoited by what?
Very enlightening analysis Khmeriza...
History has already passed but its invaluable lesson should be learned. History has taught Cambodian younger generation about the aggressive attempt of Thailand and Vietnam.
Current diplomatic tension between Hun Sen government and Abhisit government is the test of hegemonic effort of Vietnam and Thailand over Cambodia.
Vietnam can put Hun Sen in their armpit and taken much aventage over Thailand.
Under Hun Sen's leadership, this tension is showing only how good Hun Sen is biasing toward Thailand and serving Vietnam.
Hun Sen is just a pawn of Vietnam and Thailand now. He is becoming a good mean/tool for these country to play their hegemonic policies over Cambodia. Hun Sen has not had wisdom to run a country with self-reliance. If he wishes to lead the navy of Cambodia in the right path, he must be able to use international laws, Paris Peace Agreement and ICJ every effectively.
Cambodian people are sad to have such a pawn leader.
KY
To Hun Sen (Leader of the Cambodian People's Party Hun Sen Khmer Rouge Regime)
Since you and the CPP assassinated, executed, killed and murdered jurnalists, political opponents, leaders of the free trade union, innocent men, innocent women and innocent children;
Do you have any plan to assassinate the Thai prime minister (Abhisit Vejjajiva)?
Are you going to send Brigade 70 (Hun Sen's Death Squad Unit) to assassinate the Thai prime minister (Abhisit Vejjajiva)?
Is it true, you only kill your own peoples, you will not kill Thai and Veitnamese peoples that cannot get enough of our land?
Is it true, you only kill innocent Khmer peoples with no weapon in their hands?
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