Last Updated on 01 July 2013
By Abby Seiff
The Phnom Penh Post
A
top American think tank has warned that Cambodia will grow dangerously
unstable in coming years, should it fail to overhaul its democratic
institutions.
Pointing to trends of “politically related violence, corruption, and nepotism”, in the run-up to the July 28 elections, researchers at the Center for Strategic and International Studies conclude that “Cambodia is not moving forward with its Asean partners and instead is home to a political instability that should concern its neighbors and Asean colleagues, including the US.”
The public policy research institute is widely considered one of the most expert focusing on Southeast Asia. In June of last year, Foreign Minister Hor Namhong was a keynote speaker at a panel hosted by the think tank, which also featured Ministry of Foreign Affairs secretaries of state Ouch Borith and Kao Kim Hourn.
In the policy brief published on Thursday, researchers commend Cambodia’s strong economic growth and increased foreign investment but note that poor distribution of that wealth has led to growing unrest.
“Violent landgrabs, extrajudicial killings, crackdowns on activists, and corruption have continued alongside Cambodia’s impressive economic performance. Regional history has shown this is a recipe for political instability,” they write.
“Hun Sen is safe for now, but his sons would be wise to pay close attention to the trajectory of Southeast Asian politics. Strong-arming, corruption, intimidation, and a refusal to play by the rules will not secure votes forever, likely not even for long,” the paper warns.
Council of Ministers spokesman Phay Siphan brushed aside the conclusions, calling the message “really biased”.
“It’s a part of the campaign against the ruling party as well as against government achievements. If you compare to the rest of the region, Cambodia is the most stable,” he said.
“I appreciate what they raised,” he continued, “but the government from day to day makes it better.”
Siphan also noted that, given the country’s bloody past, few would prize unrest above stability.
Pointing to trends of “politically related violence, corruption, and nepotism”, in the run-up to the July 28 elections, researchers at the Center for Strategic and International Studies conclude that “Cambodia is not moving forward with its Asean partners and instead is home to a political instability that should concern its neighbors and Asean colleagues, including the US.”
The public policy research institute is widely considered one of the most expert focusing on Southeast Asia. In June of last year, Foreign Minister Hor Namhong was a keynote speaker at a panel hosted by the think tank, which also featured Ministry of Foreign Affairs secretaries of state Ouch Borith and Kao Kim Hourn.
In the policy brief published on Thursday, researchers commend Cambodia’s strong economic growth and increased foreign investment but note that poor distribution of that wealth has led to growing unrest.
“Violent landgrabs, extrajudicial killings, crackdowns on activists, and corruption have continued alongside Cambodia’s impressive economic performance. Regional history has shown this is a recipe for political instability,” they write.
“Hun Sen is safe for now, but his sons would be wise to pay close attention to the trajectory of Southeast Asian politics. Strong-arming, corruption, intimidation, and a refusal to play by the rules will not secure votes forever, likely not even for long,” the paper warns.
Council of Ministers spokesman Phay Siphan brushed aside the conclusions, calling the message “really biased”.
“It’s a part of the campaign against the ruling party as well as against government achievements. If you compare to the rest of the region, Cambodia is the most stable,” he said.
“I appreciate what they raised,” he continued, “but the government from day to day makes it better.”
Siphan also noted that, given the country’s bloody past, few would prize unrest above stability.
ស្ថាប័នអាមេរិកព្រមានពីការកើតមានអស្ថិរភាពនៅកម្ពុជា
Abby Seiff
ភ្នំពេញប៉ុស្តិ៍
ភ្នំពេញៈ ស្ថាប័ន
ស្រាវជ្រាវអាមេរិកលំដាប់ថ្នាក់កំពូលមួយបានព្រមានថា
កម្ពុជានឹងកាន់តែអស្ថិរភាពនាប៉ុន្មានឆ្នាំខាងមុខនេះ
ប្រសិនបើកម្ពុជាខកខានមិនបានកែតម្រូវស្ថាប័នប្រជាធិបតេយ្យរបស់
ខ្លួនទេនោះ។
ដោយចង្អុលបង្ហាញអំពីនិន្នាការនៃ«អំពើហិង្សាទាក់ទងនឹងនយោបាយ អំពើពុករលួយ និងបក្ខពួកនិយម» ក្នុង
រយៈពេលរហូតដល់ការបោះឆ្នោតថ្ងៃទី២៨ ខែកក្កដា
អ្នកស្រាវជ្រាវនៅមជ្ឈមណ្ឌលដើម្បីការសិក្សាអន្តរជាតិ
និងយុទ្ធសាស្រ្ត បានសន្និដ្ឋានថា៖ «កម្ពុជា
មិនកំពុងដើរទៅមុខជាមួយនឹងដៃគូក្នុងអាស៊ានទេ ហើយផ្ទុយទៅវិញ
កម្ពុជាគឺជាកន្លែងដែលមានអស្ថិរភាពនយោបាយ
ដែលគួរធ្វើឲ្យប្រទេសជិតខាង និងប្រទេសដទៃទៀតក្នុងអាស៊ាន
រាប់ទាំងសហរដ្ឋអាមេរិកផងមានការព្រួយបារម្ភ»។
វិទ្យាស្ថាន
ស្រាវជ្រាវគោលនយោបាយសាធារណៈនេះត្រូវបានចាត់ទុកជាទូទៅថា
ជាវិទ្យាស្ថានជំនាញបំផុតដែលផ្តោតលើអាស៊ីអាគ្នេយ៍។ ក្នុង
ខែមិថុនា ឆ្នាំមុន លោក ហោ ណាំហុង រដ្ឋមន្រ្តីការបរទេស
គឺជាវាគ្មិនសំខាន់នៅក្រុមពិភាក្សាដែលរៀបចំឡើងដោយវិទ្យាស្ថាននេះ
ដែលមានការចូលរួមពីលោក អ៊ុច បូររិទិ្ធ និងលោក កៅ
គឹមហួនរដ្ឋលេខាធិការនៃក្រសួងការបរទេសផងដែរ។
នៅ
ក្នុងឯកសារសង្ខេបគោលនយោបាយ ដែលចុះផ្សាយកាលពីថ្ងៃព្រហស្បតិ៍
សប្តាហ៍មុនអ្នកស្រាវជ្រាវបានកោតសរសើរកំណើនសេដ្ឋកិច្ច
របស់កម្ពុជា និងកំណើនការវិនិយោគបរទេស ប៉ុន្តែបានកត់សម្គាល់ថា ការបែងចែកទ្រព្យមិនល្អបានបណ្តាលឲ្យមានចលាចលកាន់តែខ្លាំងឡើងទៅវិញ។
អ្នកស្រាវជ្រាវបានសរសេរថា៖ «ការ
ចាប់យកដីធ្លីដោយហិង្សា ការសម្លាប់នៅក្រៅប្រព័ន្ធតុលាការ
ការបង្ក្រាបលើសកម្មជន
និងអំពើពុករលួយបានបន្តស្របនឹងលទ្ធផលសេដ្ឋកិច្ចល្អប្រសើររបស់
កម្ពុជា។ ប្រវត្តិសាស្រ្តនៅតំបន់ បានបង្ហាញថា
នេះជាមូលហេតុនៃអស្ថិរភាពនយោបាយ»។
ឯកសារបានព្រមានថា៖«លោក
នាយករដ្ឋមន្ត្រី ហ៊ុន សែន មានស្ថិរភាពពេលនេះមែន
ប៉ុន្តែកូនប្រុសលោកគួរតែយកចិត្តទុកដាក់ខ្លាំងលើដំណើរនយោបាយនៅ
អាស៊ីអាគេ្នយ៍។ ការ
ប្រើកម្លាំង អំពើពុករលួយការបំភិតបំភ័យ
និងការបដិសេធមិនប្រកួតប្រជែងតាមវិធាននឹងមិនទទួលបានសំឡេងឆ្នោត
ជារៀងរហូតទេ សូម្បីតែរយៈពេលវែងក៏មិនអាចកើតឡើងដែរ»។
លោក ផៃ ស៊ីផាន អ្នកនាំពាក្យទីស្តីការគណៈរដ្ឋមន្រ្តីបានច្រានចោលការសន្និដ្ឋានក្នុងរបាយការណ៍នេះ ដោយហៅការសន្និដ្ឋាននេះថា «មានភាពលម្អៀងយ៉ាងពិតប្រាកដ»។ លោកបានបន្ថែមថា៖ «វាជាផ្នែកមួយនៃយុទ្ធនាការប្រឆាំងនឹងគណបក្សកាន់អំណាចព្រមទាំងប្រឆាំងនឹងសមិទ្ធផលរបស់រដ្ឋាភិបាល។ ប្រសិនបើអ្នកប្រៀបធៀបនឹងប្រទេសដទៃទៀតក្នុងតំបន់ កម្ពុជាគឺមានស្ថិរភាពបំផុត»។
លោកបានបន្តថា៖ «ខ្ញុំកោតសរសើរនូវអ្វីដែលពួកគេបានលើកឡើង។ប៉ុន្តែរដ្ឋាភិបាលកម្ពុជា ធ្វើបានកាន់តែល្អប្រសើរពីមួយថ្ងៃទៅមួយថ្ងៃ»។
លោក
ផៃ ស៊ីផាន ក៏បានកត់សម្គាល់ផងដែរថា
បើគិតពីប្រវតិ្តបង្ហូរឈាមរបស់ប្រទេស
មានមនុស្សតិចតួចណាស់ដែលផ្តល់តម្លៃដល់ចលាចលជាជាងស្ថិរភាព នោះ។
លោកបានគូសបញ្ជាក់ទៀតថា៖«ទោះ
បីជាការបោះឆ្នោតមានលទ្ធផលអ្វីក៏ដោយ
ក៏យើងនឹងនៅតែរក្សាសន្តិភាព និងស្ថិរភាព។
យើងបានរៀនសូត្រច្រើនពីសង្គ្រាមស៊ីវិលពីវាលពិឃាត»៕ TK
5 comments:
Ah phay siphan ah kteuy. You neck will be cut off after the election.
Hun Sen and his Regime came into existence by and for Hanoi.
Phay Siphan has brushed aside every report that does not speak well of the Hun Sen regime and will continue to do so till the day he runs back to the US!
I still simply cannot understand someone who came to the US and has failed miserably to learn something important about the rules of law, justice, democracy, and how to get what you want by hard work and not by nepotism, cronyism, and the sale of one's conscience.
Pissed Off
The Rules of law seem to becoming Unconstituitional in the Land of the Rules of law!!!!
The Judges decide for the people from now on!!!! Thanks for Democrazy!!!!!
Talking Ass (donkey)
Hun Sen can't wipe out the corruption in Cambodia, because the corruption is the plan of Hanoi . Hanoi can't swallow Cambodia by the force ,so now Hanoi change the strategy of the plan to swallow Cambodia. By corruption the illegal Vietnamese in Cambodia can buy khmer I.D ,they can buy the land ,they can buy the job in Cambodia and they can own every thing in Cambodia .Why Hun Sen don't want to raise up the salary for the workers ,because Hun Sen want the workers become still stay poor when they are poor ,they don't care what the government do ,they just care about the stomach even Hun Sen give khmer land to Hanoi ,and another way when the people are poor Hun Sen can buy and use those people to do some thing bad .
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