Saturday, September 28, 2013

A Possible Political Solution is in Sight

The CNRP's elected lawmakers

The CPP's elected lawmakers

By ខែ្មរវឌ្ឍនកម្ម
khmerwathanak.blogspot.com

After nearly two months of defending their controversial election victory which has been officially rejected by the opposition, Hun Sen and his CPP have unilaterally wrapped up their wily game by creating the new government and the power structure in the new National Assembly without the participation from the CNRP. Such a bold move has put the new government into question among the people and the international community. However, this is a reality that the opposition have faced when the whole system in the country from village chief up to the King are under the CPP's control. There is no free and fair political atmosphere for the CNRP to move on but probably to capitulate with them at the end. Even though both sides have opened the doors for further negotiations, but the CNRP seem have not much leverages to maneuver against the heavy weight CPP any more. Any tough stand against the CPP will be more risky than beneficial for the party and the people, but to continue negotiation with the CPP may produce a more acceptable solution and benefit for the party in a long run. Now the CPP has divulged its offer while the CNRP has announced that any solution that protects the interest of the people will be considered.

After trading of accusations on each other for violating the constitution during the first session of the parliament without the CNRP present, the two parties have summed up their political rhetoric with opening the door for further talks. This is a positive sign that a possible solution may be found in the near future if both sides are willing to search for it. Now Hun Sen has clearly stated that he would offer one vice president of the parliament position, four chair committee posts, and five vice-chair committee posts to the opposition while the CNPR demanded the president position and six chair committee posts. Please keep in mind that this is not a procedure of sharing the power like the previous coalition government in the last four terms but a negotiation solely to create a power mechanism in the parliament that have to be done between the opposition and the ruling party which is in practice in all the democratic countries around the world. But in Cambodia when the whole system of the government demanded to be reformed, the opposition also need all such necessary power in order to overhaul the progress of the reform especially the total reform of the NEC and the election process. Hun Sen should reconsider the president of the National Assembly position for the opposition if he wants a meaningful and concrete reform and a check and balance of power in his new government, but to reform the system on his own term by threatening his own officials not to commit malfeasance and without the opposition overhaul will be feeble and incompatible to the democratic principle.


As the country urgently needs a new government with a reform minded leader, the two parties should resume their talks based on the best interest of the people and a spirit of national reconciliation. According to the offers and demands from the both parties, we have seen that their positions are not far away from reaching at least a possible solution for the country. If the two sides make a little bid more concession, they will definitely reach their final solution. The CNRP may accept the vice president post--because Hun Sen fears of paralyzing his government without full cooperation from the president of the National Assembly-- but kept with the six chair committee they had demanded, and the CPP may retains the president post but have to cede two more chair committee to fulfill the opposition's demand. And CNRP must get the key committee chairs namely International Relation, justice, Interior, Security, Financial, and Human Rights Committee that give them needed leverages to overhaul the government activities and reforms. The CNRP's demand for leadership in the parliament without prior statement has create a good opportunity for Hun Sen to vilify his opponents for insincere with the people, for they negotiate with him to demand the parliament president position rather than to demand the independent inquiry, and he has threatened to reveal more records from the closed door negotiations.  But This trick is not new to the public; Hun Sen had previously used this trick against prince Ranarith and Kem Sokha by secretly recording the conversations and revealing it when he needed to divide the public opinions. In fact, the CNRP is rightful and deserves the leadership positions in the parliament, for the people overwhelmingly voted for them in order to bring change to the country. And the CNRP needed to search all possible solutions that help finding justice for the people. We expect the public will not distract and dismay by this malicious attack by Hun Sen because it is his usual tactic but a dirty trick to play against his opponents.

Certainly, the people have their rightful demand to get transparency from the politicians, but in conventional rules and practices, most politicians even in the most democratic countries have to exercise some degree of their secrecy. From congressmen to presidential offices, they rarely reveal all their contents or details to the public and the presses before negotiating with their counterparts to reach an agreement first; every government and political party have to maintain their classified information. Hence the CNRP's negotiation with the CPP without disclosing all the contents to the public is not unusual but a conventional rule practised by all politicians in this real world. Yet, the CNRP is still the most transparent political party compared to the CPP and other parties. After each of three meetings with the CPP, Sam Rainsey, Kim Sokha, and Yim Sovann reported the progress of the negotiation directly to the people on the Democracy Park, and also aired on the RFA and other media. Actually, they answered very detail and on the point of question in compare to Phai Siphan, Cheang Vun and the other CPP officials who always tried to distract and to play down with the questions from the RFA moderator. The CNRP has  publicly demanded a balance of power in the new parliament even it did not disclosed along with the key demand, and it is a conventional tactic of negotiation when the parties try to search and reach some agreements that they can do and leave the differences for further talks. Hitherto, the CNRP has neither dropped nor swapped the key demand of independent inquiry yet, but if this demand is not successful, it may try to search other possible solutions that attribute to finding justice for the people.

To capitulate with Hun Sen and his CPP doesn't mean the CNRP totally surrendered with them but to work with them with a clear condition in order to push for a concrete reform with the new government. To stay out of the parliament will create more opportunity for the CPP to oppress the people without help, and the voices of the people will not equally represent in the National Assembly. The CNRP needs to look to its bright future ahead; it may sacrifice and soften its demands for sometime, for the current situation is not suitable for the party to act accordingly, but the CNRP may use this juncture to bargain for the positions the party absolutely needed to continue its struggle to bring true democracy, justice and full sovereignty for the country. To work with the CPP in the parliament in such a current condition is an undesirable choice for the CNRP, but in the country where all aspects of the society are under one man or one party's control has no many options left for the opposition. Nevertheless, the opposition now have a better chance to start their reform from ground zero up; the election process and judiciary reforms must be the top priority for the opposition in the next mandate of the legislature if any political solution is acceptable for them to join the parliament in the future. They must work to fix the election process first before participating in the next election, and if this system is completely fixed to normal standard, their bright future is waiting ahead for them in the next municipal election.

10 comments:

Anonymous said...

Thinking out loud - will the CNRP be entrapped?

Kal

Anonymous said...

ខ្មែរមួយចំនួនខ្លះបានដឹងជាមុនហើយថា មិនយូរទេពួក
សម រង្ស៊ី និង កឹមសុខា នេះនិង
ដល់ពេលចូលក្នុង បន្ទប់ចរចារបែងចែកអំណាចនិងកៅអីអង្គុយហើយ .....

ហ៊ុន សែន ចង្អុលសួរ សម រង្ស៊ី ថា

៥៥ យកមិនយក? សម រង្ស៊ី យក សម្តេច
៥៥ យកមិនយក? សម រង្ស៊ី យក សម្តេច
៥៥ យកមិនយក? សម រង្ស៊ី យក សម្តេច
ពិតណាស់!
ពិតជាអស្ចារ្យណាស់!

សម រង្ស៊ី ជាមេដឹកនាំមហាបាតុកម្មបង្គ្រប់កិច្ចមែន....

អញ្ចឹងការសង្ឃឹមអំពីជ័យជម្នៈរបស់ពលរដ្ឋលើគណបក្សសង្គ្រោះជាតិ
គឺជាការសង្ឃឹមខ្យល់លើមេឃតែប៉ុណ្ណោះ!
ពួកនេះសុទ្ធតែជាពួកកាន់មាត់បាវអោយចោរ
និងជាអ្នកជួយទប់ជើងគ្រែអោយអា ហ៊ុន សែន!
ហើយពួកប្រឆាំងផ្កាប់មុខទាំងនេះគឺគ្មានបំណងធ្វើការ
ផ្លាស់ប្តូរពិតប្រាកដទេ ក្រៅពីបង្គ្រប់កៅអី និងបង្គ្រប់ងារជាឯកឧត្ដមតែប៉ុណ្ណោះ។

មិនយូរទេ ហ៊ុនសែននិងកំចាយចោលទាំងអស់ហ្នឹង!

Anonymous said...

cnrp do not break the promises to the people.

Anonymous said...

4:00 AM,

I's up to your MAMA but not your PAPA Ah Chhkae Yuon Hun Sen, DUMB-ASS!

Anonymous said...

Heh, ah kwak how is your breeding baboon business in your Monkey Building of Parliament. Have you have enough bananas to feed them if you don't you can round up all dogs in Phnom Penh and sell them to your youns' bosses in Hanoi or to please them more contract out another island in Kampot for anther 100 years. Do whatever you like for the sake of your boss and beside this remember you're the land owner and also the master of all khmers living on that land. To make a story short and more convenience to you is you don't have to consult with all the baboons in the Parliament Building just speak out and your words would become laws a minute after you speak out. You are such a mighty CHker's Youn.

Anonymous said...


Self-elected law breakers

Anonymous said...

everyday, I pray god that Cambodia and all its politicians will work things out and find a common solution with their issues so Cambodia and its people can continue to move ahead.

life is too precious for all!

Anonymous said...

Great analysis! Thank you for taking the time to write this conflict resolution article.

Anonymous said...

If the CNRP decides that its best strategy at this moment is to negotiate with Hun Sen, then, they should also begin now to think of what strategy they would use if down the road, after having worked with the CPP government for some time, they realize that they can't overhaul the NEC, the Constitutional Council, the courts and the like, etc. the way they want due to strong opposition from the CPP government. After all, these structures in their current states have served Hun Sen and the CPP quite well and are also their life lines.

Can the CNRP guarantee itself with some certainty that the positions they negotiate for allow them to reform what needs to be?

To Hun Sen and the CPP, allowing such an overhaul would be suicidal. After all, Hun Sen plans to stay in power longer than the end of the 5th term and he knows he will not win the election to continue on to the 6th term with a fair election.

Will the devil be less intelligent now to allow such an elaborate reform to happen remains to be seen. Common sense would indicate quite the opposite.

CPP and Hun Sen came into this game with a clear strategy and objective; they know exactly how far to go to achieve their victory while CNRP, due to its ambiguous bottom line as far as strategy and planning are concerned, proceeds with objectives continuously changing in conformity to the winds of pressure from Hun Sen. Even with overwhelming public support as illustrated by the election result, CNRP, which initially appears to have an upper hand, is now at the mercy of the CPP.

CPP came into the war being prepared to die for their cause while CNRP had no clue how far it was willing to go to accomplish its mission.

CNRP needs to be careful as without proper consultation with and support from the grass-roots supporters and unity within the party on the options chosen, they will stand to lose a lot more support now and much more for the next election. Hopefully disillusion does not reign among CNRP supporters as the party prepares to negotiate for whatever the CPP can give. CNRP, make sure you have thought clearly of your bottom line before you are going in to negotiate with the devil as the devil has certainly known already what you want!

I wish CNRP the best in its endeavor to negotiate with the CPP.

Pissed Off

Anonymous said...

Correction:

I wish CNRP the best in its endeavor to negotiate with the CPP. However, I am firmly convinced that the CNRP has made a grave mistake by refusing to be firm in its demand for an independent committee to investigate the election irregularities.

Pissed Off