Thursday, April 05, 2007

SRP: Analysis of Election Results for the CPP and the SRP

April 5, 2007

ANALYSIS OF ELECTION RESULTS FOR THE CPP AND THE SRP
(April 1, 2007 commune council election)

These are the latest available figures. Comparisons are with figures from the 2002 commune council election:

For the CPP
  • Number of popular votes collected by the CPP: 3.11 million versus 2.67 million (+16.5%).
  • Percentage of the CPP votes nationwide: 61.1% versus 61.2%.
  • Number of commune councillor seats gained by the CPP: 7,987, versus 7,703 (+3.7%).
  • Number of communes led by the CPP: 1,591 versus 1,598 (-0.4%).
  • Number of communes with CPP representation (out of 1,621): 1,621 (100.0% coverage), same as in 2002.
For the SRP
  • Number of popular votes collected by the SRP: 1.30 million versus 0.73 million (+77.6%).
  • Percentage of the SRP votes nationwide: 25.5% versus 16.7%.
  • Number of commune councillor seats gained by the SRP: 2,671 versus 1,346 (+98.4%).
  • Number of communes led by SRP: 28 versus 13 (+115.4%).
  • Number of communes with SRP representation (out of 1,621): 1,379 (85.1% coverage) versus 914 (56.4%). The number of communes with SRP representation has increased by 50.9%.
Evolution from the 2002 commune council election to the 2003 national election:
  • Percentage of the CPP votes nationwide: from 61.2% to 47.3%.
  • Percentage of the SRP votes nationwide: 16.7% to 21.9%.
Possible evolution from the 2007 commune council election to the 2008 national election, in a two-party race:
  • Percentage of the CPP votes nationwide: from 61.1% to 49.0 % (change very similar to the evolution from 2002 to 2003 given the different nature of the two elections).
  • Percentage of an SRP-led Democratic Movement votes nationwide: from 25.5% to 51.0% (the democratic forces could win the next election if they are united like in 1993, when they won the UN-organized election).
  • Important remark: At the April 1, 2007 election, some 2 million eligible voters, most of them non-CPP supporters, were prevented from casting their ballot due to administrative harassment and political discrimination. The voter turnout plummeted to an unprecedented low of 65 percent versus 87 percent in 2002. This problem will be properly addressed next year.
National Assembly and Senator seats that each political party would win on the basis of the popular votes they collected at the April 1, 2007 commune council election:

National Assembly members (123 in total):
  • CPP: 90 (against 73 now)
  • SRP: 31 (against 24 now)
  • NRP: 2 (against 0 now)
  • Funcinpec: 0 (against 26 now)
Senators (out of 57 who would be elected by the 11,321 commune councillors nationwide):
  • CPP: 45 (same as now)
  • SRP: 12 (against 2 now)
  • NRP: 0 (same as now)
  • Funcinpec: 0 (against 10 now). Funcinpec won 2,211 commune councillor positions in 2002 but the number was reduced to 289 in 2007.

SRP Cabinet

11 comments:

Anonymous said...

MORNING SICK AND RETARDED GRINGOS!

INSTEAD OF WASTING YOUR TIME, YOU BETTER TRY TO BUILD ROADS, SCHOOLS AND IRRIGATIONS FOR THE CAMBODIAN PEOPLE... AND IN YOUR NEXT LIFE, THE PEOPLE WILL VOTE FOR YOU.

STUDY MEDITATION AND THERE IS NO SHAME TO LOSE...

JUST BE A DEMOCRATIC GRINGOS AT LEAST!

Anonymous said...

BRAVO Dogtor Hun Xen, BRAVO Yuan/CPeePee.

Your guns and $$ now Paid OFF.

Anonymous said...

Mr Sam Rainsy,
You must know that about half of the vote are made by YUONS and most of Cambodians are prevented from voting.
As HONG XEN intendes to stay in power until 90 years old, colonialist YUONS would be larger than Khmers and we would have ONCLE HO Junior as our Prime minister. In near future will we become the minority in our own country? (new Kampuchea krom)
If we don't win the next election may be we will never win.
How are you planning to win the 2008 national election.
(It's time for all khmers to wake up and unite with Sam rainsy and send money to help his party.
Khmer Kampuchea Krom

Anonymous said...

Yeah right, Ah Khmer-Yuon, there
are millions of illegal yuons voted
for the CPP. Get a life, will ya?
There is no such thing as Kampuchea
Krom or Kampuchea Leu. There is
only Plain Kampuchea, Thailand,
Laos, and Vietnam.

Anonymous said...

Yep. Let all us Khmer meditate so we have right speech and mindfulness.
So we don't say something like this:

MORNING SICK AND RETARDED GRINGOS!

INSTEAD OF WASTING YOUR TIME, YOU BETTER TRY TO BUILD ROADS, SCHOOLS AND IRRIGATIONS FOR THE CAMBODIAN PEOPLE... AND IN YOUR NEXT LIFE, THE PEOPLE WILL VOTE FOR YOU.

STUDY MEDITATION AND THERE IS NO SHAME TO LOSE...

JUST BE A DEMOCRATIC GRINGOS AT LEAST!

10:54 PM

I meditate for you too 10:45. Even though no one besides self can save self, i will meditate for you out of mercy.

Anonymous said...

FROM RETARDED GRINGOS TO PAL ATILLA THE HUN:

HOW ABOUT STOP PUTTING NAMES ON THE BUILDINGS AND BRIDGES THAT ARE BUILT FROM STEALING PEOPLE MONEY.

RETARDED GRINGOS HAVE SO FAR SPENT A LOT OF MONEY TO HELP YOUR SMART BRAIN PEOPLE IN THE LAND OF A BUNCH PSYCHOPATHIC LEADERS EVERY YEAR NOT TO MENTION MY TAX DOLLARS TOWARD ATILLA THE HUN.

Khmer Young said...

SPR's calculation is reliable if we observe these critical scenarios:
1. Commune election of 2007 is really cheated and mechanized by Vietnam. When it is not genuinely winning, the force of the people, the power of the people will increase to vote for democratic and for the change of leader tremendously in 2008.
2. When all democratic parties unite together, the voice of democracy will be bravely because Cambodian people are alert and aware the need and necessity of having genuine democracy in Cambodia. This can be absolutely occured because CPP hate to change and adapt their party. This CPP is still using the same old propanda. They can not change, if they change the internal rift will be happened. And their Master VN doesn't want this Party to change its shape. So it is easy for Democratic Movement to proclaim the new hope to Cambodian people.
----------------------

This commune election 2007 is not fair at all because there are tricks and distortion by NEC that has played as the frontliner soldier for CPP.

CPP can win only through the same old tactics:
1. Using carrot & stick. It is the culture of CPP led by Hun Sen that is easily intimindating the people in the scary, dark places; and donate gifts to the people in the very loveable, generous attitudes.
2. Benefiting from Khmer Rouge trial as they are procrastinating and procrastinating. CPP government has no intention at all to try KR because KR is CPP, CPP is KR. To remain KR issue, CPP can gain credit through its activity in January 7, 1979. Also VN doesn't want KR trial to be easily ended because it can intensify their illegal invasion and plundering Cambodia in January 7, 1979. This KR trial is absolutely gaining votes for CPP through deep emotion of the Khmer people.
3. vote registratin mechanism is vital which this tactic ensures the CPP to foresee the result correctly.

The list name of the voters are easily for CPP to get victory through different performances such as:
1. Distorting list names who are not supporting CPP
2. Burying the genuine ballot boxes and count the arranged ballot boxes. NEC can arrage this well for CPP.
3. Illegal VN who are not intentional and patriotic controled by the government. This act of Cambodian government make Cambodian people feel bitter and bitter.

Note: when democratic voice is louder and louder, VN through its shadow actor like Hun Sen will not hesitate to use guns, grenades, personal bodyguards, fals national police and military, or other vicious tactics to destroy his opponents. But this time, Hun Sen and CPP will choose ghost game rather than getting good for CPP future. Our present globalization and technology encourage and strengthen human rights, freedom and democracy.

Nothing is impossible! the authoritarian and communist leader power has never lasted in this world.

Anonymous said...

AH HUN SEN KBAL YOUN KHLOUN SAT' JIT DERECHHAN

CPP = Communist Pro youn Party

http://hengpoev.alkablog.com
http://coupof56july.alkablog.com/a_family_affair_inside_the_dictator_in_cambodia_b53845.html
http://cheavichea.alkablog.com

Anonymous said...

POOR SICK RETARDED PLEOU GRINGOS... YOU TALK YOU TALK AND AT THE END... YOU WILL BE SENT TO UNCLESAM CLINIC FOR INFECTED ALIENS!

STAY WHERE YOU ARE! CAMBODIA IS NOW AND FOREVER IN THE GOOD HAND OF TEVADA!

THE DIFFERENCE IS WE ARE BORN TO BE THE SERVANT OF CAMBODIA AND YOU ARE BORN TO BE THE SLAVE OF UNCLE SAM... STUPID GRINGOS!

Anonymous said...

BORN TO SERVE YUON, SUCK YUON DICKS, CUNTS, WILL DIE BY YUONS NOOSE.

Anonymous said...

Ohhhh ... poorr bayybeee (2:04),
he can't cope with the lost of the
election. Now, he's hallucinating
all these excuses to make him feel
better. He think his party can win future election with his stupid
tatic, by deceiving people as they
has been doing all along, ha ha
ha, LOL, ha ha ha ...