Heng Samrin: CPP will win by 90%
Everyday.com.kh
Translated from Khmer by Socheata
Heng Samrin, the president of the National Assembly and honorary president of the CPP, told a group of reporters on Tuesday morning that his party hopes to win big at the commune election which will take place in 4 days. He said that the CPP in all communes and sangkats will win by 90%, and he believes that the winning at the commune election will lead the CPP to win at the upcoming general election also. Heng Samrin said that the reason the CPP will win was because during the first commune mandate, CPP commune councilors have worked very hard to fulfill its promises to the people, and also the people also know about what the CPP had done. Furthermore, Heng Samrin said that CPP commune councilors understand the hardships of the people, therefore, this leads him to believe that the CPP will win by 90% during this election.
5 comments:
Why a very important CPP leader has confidently told us that CPP will win 90% in this commune election? This is very critical that if we survey general people who are eligible to vote, we can perceive that CPP can only win 75 to 80% approximately.
But Heng Somrin (HSR) said like that it must be a plan that is very subtle tactics of CPP. It is incredible that he is confidently foreseeing the votes.
There are two strategies from his predicting:
1. To compaign for votes. More leaders confident for her/his victory, more people trust and change their mind to vote for him/her.
2. Votes have already been put in places, the election or the compaign is just the propaganda or the puppet show. This tactic has been used by most countries including those democratic and communist countries. To silent social chaos or legitimize their leadership, they have to arrange election.
It is very subtle to comprehend the mechanism led by the government. It can be through vote-buying or vote-manipulating.
Vote-manipulating is very subtle as the real votes are never counted, but the arraged votes are actually on the table.
In Cambodia, the current situation is easily to practice votes-arrangment because people cast their ballots into the bollot-boxes, and ballot-boxes have to be mobilized. And the counting process is through chalk and pens.
Some developed countries they use the electronic machin that can give the answer only one second after ballots have been casted.
Heng Samrin prediction concedes that that CPP has lost 8% from the 2002 commune election which give the ruling party 98% of the total 1621 communes. 10% of the total commune represent 162 commune which will be shared among the other parties.
SRP hopes to win 20% (300 communes) of the communes if the election is fairly free means that Heng Samrin forecast is not unrealistic.
When you know that the party in power is not going to leave office regardless of what the election results are, you eventually come around to supporting that party, at least if you live in the countryside where the authorities can keep an eye on you.
How can the CPP understand the average and poor Cambodians, when they live in the big villa, sent their kids abroad for education, and go to Vietnam or Thailand for hospitaliszation?
Hi gringos and indians!
they are humble and could predict a win by 90%... but if they are not the figure will be 99%!
prepare to go to the moon and meet martians your new master to complain about the elections...
you may prepare your army of monkey and indians to visit Cambodia and you will be received with eggs and tomatos...
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